Posts Tagged ‘poll’
Posted in Bob Blackman, Election 2010, tagged 2010 election, Andrew Dismore, Bob Blackman, Conservatives, Hendon, Labour, London, marginal seat, poll, swing, Tony McNulty, YouGov on April 12, 2010| 1 Comment »
Could it be all change in Harrow East?
A YouGov poll of London voters for the Evening Standard suggests that Harrow East will swing back to the Conservatives in the upcoming election.
The seat, which went from Blue to Red in 1997 and has been held for the past 13 years by Labour MP Tony McNulty, is one of a dozen tipped to go Tory next month.
The poll gives the Conservative party a six point rise on the 2005 election, putting their share of the vote in the capital at 38 per cent.
Meanwhile the poll puts Labour at 35 per cent and the Lib Dems at 16 per cent, a six point drop.
Among the twelve seats likely to shift from either Lib Dem or Labour control is Harrow’s neighbouring seat Hendon. Currently held by Labour MP Andrew Dismore, it is highly placed on the Conservatives list of target seats, which may be why Prime Minister Gordon Brown dropped by the area yesterday.
Harrow East is not considered quite as marginal as Hendon, with McNulty enjoying a majority of 2,934 in the 2005 election.
But as the poll indicates, his dismal record during last year’s expenses scandal and Labour’s wider national standing could well deliver a win for Tory candidate Bob Blackman.
Still, with more than three weeks to go until May 6, none of the candidates can rest easy.